Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga1 - 0Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 0-5 Braga
Wednesday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Chaves
Monday, April 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, April 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Braga 2-0 Gil Vicente
While Gil Vicente have run out of steam in recent weeks, Braga are currently firing on all cylinders and will be looking to return to the automatic Champions League spot. Jorge's side are unbeaten at home post-World Cup and we are tipping them to claim a comfortable win on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
65.28% ( 0.58) | 20.12% ( 0.05) | 14.61% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 50.07% ( -1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% ( -1.47) | 44.36% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( -1.45) | 66.73% ( 1.44) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.21% ( -0.28) | 12.79% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.91% ( -0.58) | 39.09% ( 0.58) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.41% ( -1.76) | 42.59% ( 1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.05% ( -1.54) | 78.94% ( 1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 65.27%
Gil Vicente 14.61%
Draw 20.12%
| Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.59)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.11% Total : 65.27% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.12% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.54% Total : 14.61% |
How you voted: Braga vs Gil Vicente
Braga
100%Draw
0.0%Gil Vicente
0.0%17
