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Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Vizela

Braga
2 - 1
Vizela

Zalazar (53', 85')
Ruiz (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Essende (50')
Quina (17'), Samu (41'), Ruberto (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Braga
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Chaves
Monday, April 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 3-1 Vizela

Both these sides need three points here but for very different reasons. Based on form and league position, the hosts should come through this one with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawVizela
74.2% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 15.94% (0.0050000000000008 0.01) 9.85% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.7% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)37.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.49% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)59.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)8.59% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.33% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)29.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)81.64% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Braga 74.2%
    Vizela 9.85%
    Draw 15.94%
BragaDrawVizela
2-0 @ 11.87%
3-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81%
6-0 @ 1.2%
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 74.2%
1-1 @ 7.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 15.94%
0-1 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 9.85%

How you voted: Braga vs Vizela

Braga
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Vizela
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
Vizela
1-3
Braga
Essende (72')
Ortiz (45+3'), Busnic (78'), Escoval (81')
Banza (15', 56'), Bruma (90+6')
Borja (89')
Mar 11, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Vizela
0-4
Braga
Elmusrati (43'), Medeiros (49', 65'), Horta (75')
Sep 18, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Braga
2-0
Vizela
Oliveira (83'), Horta (90+5')
Apr 10, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 29
Vizela
0-1
Braga

Alvarado (50'), Fernandes (67'), Anderson (75')
Medeiros (39')
Carmo (6'), Horta (13'), Magalhaes (88'), Mineiro (90+1')
Oliveira (44')
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
4-1
Vizela
Horta (27', 45' pen.), Silva (57'), Ruiz (90+3')
Moura (84')
Kouao (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1211013963333
2Porto1210023082230
3Benfica119113072328
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara128041512324
5Braga127232011923
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes126331611521
7FamalicaoFamalicao124531311217
8MoreirenseMoreirense125251717017
9Rio AveRio Ave124351322-915
10Casa Pia123451016-613
11Estoril PraiaEstoril123451017-713
12BoavistaBoavista12246715-810
13Gil Vicente122461423-910
14AVS12246920-1110
15Nacional11236615-99
16Estrela Amadora122371021-119
17SC FarenseFarense12228618-128
18AroucaArouca12228621-158


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