Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Vizela |
74.2% ( -0.01) | 15.94% ( 0.01) | 9.85% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.45% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.7% ( -0.01) | 37.29% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.49% ( -0.01) | 59.5% ( 0.01) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.41% ( -0.01) | 8.59% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.33% ( -0.01) | 29.66% ( 0.01) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.09% ( 0) | 45.9% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.35% ( 0) | 81.64% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 11.87% 3-0 @ 9.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.81% 6-0 @ 1.2% 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 74.2% | 1-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 15.94% | 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 9.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 30 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 19 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 16 |
13 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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