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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Vizela

Braga
2 - 1
Vizela

Zalazar (53', 85')
Ruiz (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Essende (50')
Quina (17'), Samu (41'), Ruberto (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Braga
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Chaves
Monday, April 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 3-1 Vizela

Both these sides need three points here but for very different reasons. Based on form and league position, the hosts should come through this one with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 74.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawVizela
74.2% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 15.94% (0.0050000000000008 0.01) 9.85% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.7% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)37.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.49% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)59.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)8.59% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.33% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)29.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)45.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)81.64% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Braga 74.2%
    Vizela 9.85%
    Draw 15.94%
BragaDrawVizela
2-0 @ 11.87%
3-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81%
6-0 @ 1.2%
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 74.2%
1-1 @ 7.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 15.94%
0-1 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 9.85%

How you voted: Braga vs Vizela

Braga
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Vizela
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
Vizela
1-3
Braga
Essende (72')
Ortiz (45+3'), Busnic (78'), Escoval (81')
Banza (15', 56'), Bruma (90+6')
Borja (89')
Mar 11, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Vizela
0-4
Braga
Elmusrati (43'), Medeiros (49', 65'), Horta (75')
Sep 18, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Braga
2-0
Vizela
Oliveira (83'), Horta (90+5')
Apr 10, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 29
Vizela
0-1
Braga

Alvarado (50'), Fernandes (67'), Anderson (75')
Medeiros (39')
Carmo (6'), Horta (13'), Magalhaes (88'), Mineiro (90+1')
Oliveira (44')
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
4-1
Vizela
Horta (27', 45' pen.), Silva (57'), Ruiz (90+3')
Moura (84')
Kouao (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1610061816230
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia166551819-123
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751919019
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13AVS172961324-1115
14Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16Nacional163491123-1213
17SC FarenseFarense163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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