We said: Chaves 1-1 Famalicao
Buoyed by their victory over Estoril Praia, Famalicao will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to steer clear of the relegation zone. However, Chaves have been a tough nut to crack at home in the league, where they are unbeaten in their last five matches. Both sides are evenly-matched on paper and we anticipate that the spoils will be shared in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.