Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
43.14% ( -0.65) | 27.43% ( -0.01) | 29.43% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 47.85% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.57% ( 0.29) | 57.43% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.76% ( 0.23) | 78.24% ( -0.23) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( -0.21) | 26.38% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( -0.27) | 61.53% ( 0.27) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% ( 0.66) | 35% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.26% ( 0.69) | 71.74% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.13% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.13% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
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