Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Moreirense |
32.41% (![]() | 25.77% (![]() | 41.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.15% (![]() | 49.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.15% (![]() | 71.85% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.01% (![]() | 29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.11% (![]() | 64.89% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% (![]() | 23.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.26% (![]() | 57.74% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 8.49% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.41% | 1-1 @ 12.24% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |