Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
38% (![]() | 28.05% (![]() | 33.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.46% (![]() | 58.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.89% (![]() | 79.11% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% (![]() | 29.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% (![]() | 65.85% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.66% (![]() | 32.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% (![]() | 68.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 13.16% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.63% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.86% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
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