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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Chaves

Portimonense
2 - 1
Chaves

Varela (14'), Carrillo (38')
Tornich (48'), Carlinhos (63'), Dener (85'), Amorim (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sousa (87')
Correia (22'), Souza (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 6-1 Portimonense
Saturday, November 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Chaves

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 2-1 Chaves

 Fresh off the back of a humiliating defeat against Braga, Portimonense will head into the weekend looking to restore some pride. Sergio's men take on a Chaves side who have lost seven of their eight away matches across all competitions this season and we fancy them coming away with all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portimonense in this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawChaves
32.79% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06) 27.2% (-0.032 -0.03) 40.01% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.81% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (0.107 0.11)55.55% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.28% (0.087999999999997 0.09)76.72% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (0.013999999999996 0.01)31.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (0.017999999999997 0.02)68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (0.099999999999994 0.1)27.18% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (0.133 0.13)62.59% (-0.135 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 32.79%
    Chaves 40%
    Draw 27.19%
PortimonenseDrawChaves
1-0 @ 9.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.79%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.59% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 11.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Chaves

Portimonense
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Chaves
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 24
Chaves
2-0
Portimonense
Juninho (31'), Abass (73')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Portimonense
1-0
Chaves
Estrela (19' pen.)
> Preview
Jan 29, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Portimonense
0-1
Chaves

Tormena (32'), Martinez (53'), Possignolo (55'), Paulinho (90')
Costinha (38')
Filipe (42'), Jefferson (54'), Campi (61'), Sen (73'), Maras (90'), Lionn (95')
Aug 18, 2018 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Chaves
2-0
Portimonense
Marcao (27' pen.), Perdigao (31')
Paulinho (45'), Eustaquio (59'), Melo (70')

Nakajima (15'), Ewerton (23'), Manafa (42'), Lazaroni (91')
Apr 22, 2018 4pm
Chaves
2-1
Portimonense
Tiba (61', 67')
Tiba (74')
Fabricio (76')
Rafa (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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