Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves1 - 3Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 4-0 Chaves
Sunday, December 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, December 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Chaves 1-1 Casa Pia
While Casa Pia never really looked likely to trouble Porto last week, there was enough in their performance against Portimonense to suggest that the new manager's impact could be a positive one. Chaves cannot afford to lose, though, and are pretty good on their home patch recently. This looks like a very even contest on paper, and we feel these sides will not be split at full time. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Casa Pia |
43.96% ( 0.32) | 25.64% ( -0.05) | 30.4% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
