Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Boavista in this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
38.61% ( -0.52) | 27.22% ( -0.07) | 34.17% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.59% ( 0.33) | 55.41% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.39% ( 0.27) | 76.6% ( -0.27) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( -0.14) | 27.91% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.47% ( -0.18) | 63.52% ( 0.17) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% ( 0.54) | 30.61% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.15% ( 0.64) | 66.85% ( -0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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