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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Maritimo

Estoril
3 - 1
Maritimo

Marques (15'), Joaozinho (80'), Yusuf (83')
Marques (61'), Gamboa (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Winck (68' pen.)
Brito (9'), Costa (43'), Marques (56'), China (57')
China (71'), Rene (73'), M. Gomes (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Vizela
Friday, May 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Maritimo

This match ultimately has no bearing on the league standing, but both teams will be pushing hard simply because of how tough their campaigns have been. Estoril Praia have been putting together a good run toward the end of the season and considering they have the home advantage they should be able to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawMaritimo
49.51% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.05% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 52.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42%50.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51%72.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)20.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)52.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.25% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 49.51%
    Maritimo 25.43%
    Draw 25.05%
Estoril PraiaDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.51%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.51%
1-2 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 25.43%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 17
Maritimo
1-0
Estoril
Rene (3')
Costa (27'), Val (41'), Afonso (57'), Liza (64'), de Lacerda (67'), Rene (83'), Costa (90')
Afonso (60')

Lea Siliki (47'), Carvalho (61')
Feb 5, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 21
Maritimo
0-0
Estoril

Mendes (17'), Junior (25'), Guitane (90+4')

Lourenco (65'), Baro (84')
Soria (68')
Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 4
Estoril
2-1
Maritimo
Crespo (28'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (59')
Lourenco (10'), Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (15'), Ferraresi (63'), Figueira (81'), Crespo (85'), Africo (90'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (90+6')
Winck (45')
Vidigal (19'), Andrade (37'), Junior (49'), China (85'), Costa (88'), de Mello Costa (90+5')
Jan 27, 2021 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Maritimo
1-3
Estoril
Joel (29')
Correa (37'), Morais (40'), Winck (78'), Jean (90+5'), Kerkez (90+9'), Hermes (116')
Winck (102'), Costa (120')
Gamboa (90+10' pen.), Thierry Lazare (97'), Harramiz (109')
Crespo (76'), Empis (86'), Soria (113')
Apr 7, 2018 4pm
Estoril
1-1
Maritimo
Evangelista (30' pen.)
Fonseca (65'), Ailton (75'), Dankler (99')
Joel (52')
Ruben (11'), Bebeto (29'), Valente (74'), Joel (90'), Cleber (98')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon22164259184152
2Benfica22162450183250
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga21134438201843
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2212282523238
6Casa Pia229672928133
7Estoril PraiaEstoril228772834-631
8Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes217953025530
9MoreirenseMoreirense2275102833-526
10FamalicaoFamalicao2151062224-225
11Rio AveRio Ave216782335-1225
12AroucaArouca2266102134-1324
13Nacional2265112130-923
14Gil Vicente215792332-922
15Estrela Amadora2255121934-1520
16AVS213991631-1518
17SC FarenseFarense2136121330-1715
18BoavistaBoavista2226141437-2312


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