Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
44.56% ( -0.37) | 26.07% ( 0.13) | 29.38% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.76% ( -0.44) | 52.24% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.06% ( -0.38) | 73.94% ( 0.38) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( -0.36) | 23.35% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.68% ( -0.53) | 57.32% ( 0.53) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.69% ( -0.06) | 32.31% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.19% ( -0.06) | 68.81% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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