Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 15, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril2 - 0Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, May 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Porto
Monday, May 8 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, May 8 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estoril Praia 0-1 Arouca
Estoril have been the most out of form side in the top flight during 2023, and are likely to struggle against a side fighting towards the upper end of the table. Arouca have been notoriously difficult to beat all season, and deservedly find themselves in fifth, as Rio Ave are the only non-top four side to record a victory over them since early September. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Arouca |
41.54% ( -0.61) | 27.48% ( 0.13) | 30.98% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.94% ( -0.31) | 57.06% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.05% ( -0.25) | 77.94% ( 0.25) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( -0.47) | 27.05% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.58% ( -0.62) | 62.42% ( 0.62) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( 0.19) | 33.65% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.7% ( 0.21) | 70.3% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia 41.54%
Arouca 30.98%
Draw 27.48%
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.54% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.98% |
How you voted: Estoril vs Arouca
Estoril Praia
43.2%Draw
11.4%Arouca
45.5%44
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3.30pm
Aug 7, 2021 12.45pm
Jan 13, 2017 8.30pm
