Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for AVS had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | AVS |
46.69% (![]() | 24.75% (![]() | 28.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.85% (![]() | 47.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.61% (![]() | 69.39% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% (![]() | 20.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.4% (![]() | 52.61% (![]() |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.72% (![]() | 30.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.55% (![]() | 66.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 9.79% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.34% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 11.7% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.33% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 28.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |