Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca |
31.74% ( -0.03) | 25.23% ( -0.01) | 43.04% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.28% ( 0.02) | 47.72% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.09% ( 0.02) | 69.91% ( -0.03) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% ( -0.01) | 28.38% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% ( -0.01) | 64.12% ( 0) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.87% ( 0.02) | 22.13% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.49% ( 0.04) | 55.51% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.74% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 30 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 19 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 16 |
13 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |