Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
43.72% ( 0) | 26.51% ( -0) | 29.76% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 50.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.17% ( 0) | 53.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.71% ( 0) | 75.29% ( -0.01) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% | 24.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.11% ( 0) | 58.89% ( -0.01) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( -0) | 32.85% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( -0) | 69.41% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |