Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Santa Clara |
52.39% | 24.63% | 22.98% |
Both teams to score 50.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49% | 51.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.13% | 72.87% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.56% | 19.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.72% | 51.28% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.05% | 36.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.26% | 73.74% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.93% Total : 52.39% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.15% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 84 | 27 | 57 | 77 |
2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 70 |
3 | Porto | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 59 |
4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 59 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 57 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 43 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 35 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 30 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 29 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 28 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 28 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 27 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 22 |
18 | Vizela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |