With just two points separating the sides in the top half of the standings, we can expect an exciting contest with plenty of goalmouth action. Gil Vincente head into the game as the more in-form side and we are backing them to come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.
