Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
Maritimo2 - 2Arouca
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Arouca |
| 40.85% | 27.44% | 31.71% |
| Both teams to score 48.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.29% | 56.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% | 77.66% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% | 27.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.3% | 62.69% |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% | 32.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.48% | 69.52% |
| Score Analysis |
Maritimo 40.85%
Arouca 31.71%
Draw 27.44%
| Maritimo | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.85% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.71% |
How you voted: Maritimo vs Arouca
Maritimo
69.8%Draw
27.9%Arouca
2.3%43
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2017 4pm
Oct 30, 2016 4pm
Apr 24, 2016 4pm
Dec 19, 2015 6.30pm
