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Vitoria de Guimaraes
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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Maritimo

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 1
Maritimo


Djalo (55'), Butzke (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andres Ramirez (28')
Costa (72'), Afonso (74'), Beltrame (90+1'), Costa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Maritimo

Pacos de Ferreira and Maritimo have endured a gruesome start to the season and currently sit in the bottom two places in the league standings. Both sides head into the weekend in similar form and we predict that the spoils will be shared between the evenly-matched teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawMaritimo
45.8% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 27.2% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 47.77% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.11% (0.076999999999998 0.08)56.89% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.19% (0.063000000000002 0.06)77.81% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.081999999999994 0.08)24.79% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (0.11199999999999 0.11)59.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)36.48% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (-0.012 -0.01)73.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 45.8%
    Maritimo 27.2%
    Draw 27%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 12.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 27.2%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Maritimo

Pacos de Ferreira
63.6%
Draw
29.5%
Maritimo
6.8%
44
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3.30pm
Nov 28, 2021 3.30pm
Maritimo
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Joel (49'), Beltrame (78')
Rossi (38'), Mendes (90+4')

Delgado (35'), Santos (66'), de Brito Gonzaga (77')
May 9, 2021 3pm
Pacos de Ferreira
1-1
Maritimo
Carlos (12')
Tanque (83'), Fonseca (88'), Costa (90+1')
Joel (40')
Bambock (84')
Jan 24, 2021 3pm
Maritimo
0-3
Pacos de Ferreira

Africo (38'), Bambock (40')
Costa (29'), Carlos (48'), Singh (85')
Fonseca (43'), Ferreira (61'), Singh (77')
Feb 16, 2020 3pm
Maritimo
3-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Junior (21'), Nanu (54', 87')
Costa (41'), Xadas (43')

Reabciuk (20'), Diaby-Fadiga (25'), Eustaquio (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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