Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Maritimo1 - 1Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Maritimo
Sunday, October 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 4-1 Famalicao
Monday, October 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, October 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Maritimo 1-2 Arouca
Arouca have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks, claiming two wins and two draws in their most recent four outings. The Arouquenses take on an out-of-sorts Maritimo side and we predict that they will steal a slender victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 35.3%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (12.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Arouca |
35.3% ( -0.95) | 29.84% ( -0.1) | 34.86% ( 1.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.57% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.41% ( 0.35) | 64.58% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.4% ( 0.24) | 83.6% ( -0.24) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.4% ( -0.45) | 34.6% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.68% ( -0.48) | 71.32% ( 0.48) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( 0.91) | 34.9% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.36% ( 0.95) | 71.64% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
Maritimo 35.3%
Arouca 34.86%
Draw 29.83%
| Maritimo | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.3% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.83% | 0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.2% Total : 34.86% |
How you voted: Maritimo vs Arouca
Maritimo
40.9%Draw
13.6%Arouca
45.5%22
Form Guide
