We said: Maritimo 1-1 Gil Vicente
While Maritimo and Gil Vicente have both stumbled into the new season, the Gilistas head into the weeks as the more in-form side and slight favourites to come away with all three points. However, we predict a cagey contest with the spoils being shared between the two evenly-matched sides.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 39%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.