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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 10, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Estoril

Porto
3 - 2
Estoril

Grujic (9'), Franco (31'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Grujic (4'), Pepe (67'), Galeno (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gouveia (27'), Geraldes (67' pen.)
Geraldes (15'), Cassiano (20'), Santos (53'), Gamboa (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-3 Porto
Saturday, March 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Vizela
Saturday, March 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Estoril Praia

 While Estoril Praia will be looking to stop the rot, they face the daunting task of taking on a Porto side who have been near impenetrable at the Estadio do Dragao in recent weeks. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are backing Porto to run out winners on Friday and keep the morale high ahead of the Champions League last-16 return leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.09%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 4.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 4-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.87%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
85.09% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 10.27% (-0.039 -0.04) 4.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 43.19% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.17% (0.10499999999999 0.1)29.84% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (0.125 0.13)50.99% (-0.123 -0.12)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.12% (0.031999999999996 0.03)4.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.38% (0.088999999999999 0.09)19.62% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)54.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)87.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Porto 85.08%
    Estoril Praia 4.65%
    Draw 10.27%
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
3-0 @ 12.23%
2-0 @ 12.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 9.23% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.4%
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.59% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.58% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.38% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 2.81% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24%
6-1 @ 1.7% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
7-0 @ 1.21% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 85.08%
1-1 @ 4.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 10.27%
0-1 @ 1.61% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 4.65%

How you voted: Porto vs Estoril

Porto
93.5%
Draw
4.8%
Estoril Praia
1.6%
62
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Estoril
1-1
Porto
Gouveia (41')
Taremi (90+9' pen.)
Franco (5')
May 14, 2022 6pm
Porto
2-0
Estoril
Joaozinho (48' og.), Fernando (88')
Jan 8, 2022 6pm
Estoril
2-3
Porto
Arthur (38'), Franco (43' pen.)
Arthur (48'), Fonte (62'), Pinheiro (64'), Lourenco (81'), Franco (90+7')
Taremi (49'), Diaz (84'), Conceicao (89')
Conceicao (90+1'), Otavio (90+5')
Feb 21, 2018 6pm
Estoril
1-3
Porto
Eduardo (16')
Ribeiro (42'), Allano (57'), Andrade (70')
Telles (52'), Tiquinho (58', 66')
Reyes (15'), Brahimi (71'), Hernani (90')
Aug 9, 2017 7pm
Porto
4-0
Estoril
Marega (35', 62'), Brahimi (54'), Marcano (71')
Pereira (77')

Allano (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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