Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 9.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.09%) and 0-3 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Porto |
9.17% (![]() | 18.08% (![]() | 72.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.81% (![]() | 49.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.75% (![]() | 71.25% (![]() |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.82% (![]() | 55.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.01% (![]() | 87.99% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.91% (![]() | 12.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.36% (![]() | 37.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 3.97% (![]() 2-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.53% Total : 9.17% | 1-1 @ 8.38% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.63% ( ![]() Other @ 0.4% Total : 18.08% | 0-2 @ 14.89% (![]() 0-1 @ 14.09% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 10.48% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.8% Total : 72.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |