Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.62%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 4.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 4-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.48%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
85.62% (![]() | 9.65% (![]() | 4.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.31% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.44% (![]() | 25.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.36% (![]() | 45.64% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.94% (![]() | 4.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.94% (![]() | 17.06% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.31% (![]() | 50.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.87% (![]() | 85.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Gil Vicente |
3-0 @ 11.28% 2-0 @ 10.55% 4-0 @ 9.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.85% Total : 85.62% | 1-1 @ 4.48% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.68% Total : 9.65% | 1-2 @ 1.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 4.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |