Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 22, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Porto1 - 0Guimaraes
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Porto in this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 64.53% | 21.05% | 14.42% |
| Both teams to score 46.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
