MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:06:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Rio Ave

Estoril
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Martins (6'), Gouveia (80')
Gouveia (14'), Tavares (66'), Ndiaye (90+2'), Vital (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Costinha (61'), Yakubu (73')
Pantalon (10'), Amaral (22'), Vitor (83')
Ferreira (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

Last Six:
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, August 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

Last Six:
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-0 Rio Ave

 Rio Ave have struggled to get going in the big leagues, losing their opening two games of the season while shipping four goals in that time. While the home side have also failed to reach full gear, they head into the weekend as firm favourites to come out on top. Given the gulf in experience and the quality of both sides, we fancy Estoril Praia to pick up all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawRio Ave
29.01% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 28.8% (0.0010000000000012 0) 42.19% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)62.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (0.039000000000001 0.04)37.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (0.038 0.04)74.73% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)29.19% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)65.13% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 29.01%
    Rio Ave 42.19%
    Draw 28.79%
Estoril PraiaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.07% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 13.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 42.19%

How you voted: Estoril vs Rio Ave

Estoril Praia
72.2%
Draw
13.9%
Rio Ave
13.9%
36
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2018 6.15pm
Rio Ave
2-0
Estoril
Pele (12' pen.), Geraldes (39')
Pele (34'), Marcelo (55'), Geraldes (90')

Andrade (43'), Halliche (48')
Miguel Lopes Mendes (90')
Nov 4, 2017 6.15pm
Estoril
0-2
Rio Ave

Mano (76'), Kleber (82'), Kyriakou (86')
Novais (42'), Guedes (86')
Tarantini (73'), Marcelo (81')
Mar 6, 2017 8pm
Estoril
0-2
Rio Ave

Eduardo (22'), Kleber (27'), Ricardo Silva Afonso (45'), Indio (55'), Dankler (72'), Carlinhos (89')
Guedes (20'), Bastiao Dias (91')
Oct 1, 2016 11.45am
Rio Ave
1-2
Estoril
Krovinovic (25')
Wakaso (66'), Ribeiro (71'), dos Santos Ferreira (73')
Indio (16'), Amado (45')
Mattheus (26'), Eduardo (72')
Mar 7, 2016 8pm
Rio Ave
1-3
Estoril
Postiga (82')
Edimar (56')
Mattheus (25', 51'), Bonatini (56' pen.)
Fernando (45'), Diego (60'), Taira (67')
Diego (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!