Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 17, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio de São Miguel
Santa Clara0 - 2Rio Ave
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Santa Clara 1-2 Rio Ave
While Rio Ave have been solid at home in recent weeks, they must improve their form on the road if they are to make a late push for a spot in Europe. Buoyed by their win over the Gilistas, we are backing Freire's side to see off the floundering hosts, who have struggled for goals this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
35.52% ( -0.05) | 28.02% ( -0.22) | 36.47% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 47.75% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.69% ( 0.83) | 58.32% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.07% ( 0.65) | 78.94% ( -0.64) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( 0.39) | 31.2% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.46% ( 0.45) | 67.55% ( -0.44) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( 0.59) | 30.61% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.16% ( 0.69) | 66.84% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
Santa Clara 35.52%
Rio Ave 36.46%
Draw 28.01%
| Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)Other @ 3% Total : 35.52% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.46% |
How you voted: Santa Clara vs Rio Ave
Santa Clara
27.8%Draw
19.4%Rio Ave
52.8%36
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 3.30pm
May 11, 2021 4pm
Jan 25, 2021 4.30pm
Rio Ave
1-2
Santa Clara
Meshino (26')
Borevkovic (36'), Augusto (57'), Gabrielzinho (60'), Jeronimo (79'), Silva (80'), Pinto (87')
Borevkovic (36'), Augusto (57'), Gabrielzinho (60'), Jeronimo (79'), Silva (80'), Pinto (87')
Form Guide
