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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Santa Clara

Maritimo
3 - 1
Santa Clara

Boateng (61' og.), Winck (72' pen.), Liza (78')
Junior (32'), Costa (34'), Mosquera (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (18')
Boateng (20'), Messi (21'), Simao (21'), Batista (27'), Misao (69'), Quintilla (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-3 Famalicao
Sunday, February 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Maritimo 2-1 Santa Clara

With just two points separating the sides in the league table, Saturday's game should be a real cracker and Maritimo and Santa Clara continue their race to beat the drop. Given that Gomes's side will have the extra support of the home fans, we are backing them to do just enough to secure a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawSanta Clara
36.37% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 29.31% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 34.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 43.97% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.1% (0.093000000000004 0.09)62.9% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.6% (0.068000000000001 0.07)82.4% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.087999999999994 0.09)33% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41% (0.096 0.1)69.59% (-0.095000000000013 -0.1)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)34.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (0.035 0.04)71.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 36.37%
    Santa Clara 34.31%
    Draw 29.31%
MaritimoDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 11.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.31%
0-1 @ 12.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.31%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Santa Clara

Maritimo
74.2%
Draw
19.4%
Santa Clara
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 6pm
Santa Clara
2-1
Maritimo
Allano (52' pen.), Babi (60')
Xadas (36')
Mendes (15')
Apr 23, 2022 6pm
Santa Clara
2-2
Maritimo
Tagawa (5', 33')
Carvalho (14'), Villanueva (84')
Alipour (64'), Winck (85')
Pelagio (50'), Costa (51'), Mendes (70')
Dec 11, 2021 3.30pm
Maritimo
4-1
Santa Clara
Joel (18' pen.), Henrique (38'), Costa (60'), Guitane (69' pen.)
Andrade (66')
Andrade (1' og.)
Nene (48'), Mansur (68'), Carvalho (90+1')
Feb 8, 2021 7pm
Maritimo
1-2
Santa Clara
Joel (61' pen.)
Pelagio (72')
Crysan (74'), Carlos (78')
Villanueva (59'), Carlos (79'), Mansur (90')
Sep 20, 2020 4pm
Santa Clara
2-0
Maritimo
Thiago (57', 72')
Thiago (85'), Nene (90+6')

Correa (47')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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