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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 6, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Arouca

Farense
2 - 0
Arouca

Oliveira (31' pen.), Duarte (38' pen.)
Falcao (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Simao (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-2 Farense
Thursday, November 2 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: SC Farense 3-1 Arouca

Farense have been involved in some high-scoring encounters of late, and this fixture has produced goals, with 14 in the three previous meetings. When the two sides met in the second tier in 2018-19, the scores ended 2-2 and 3-3, but with Arouca woefully out of form, they may come up short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawArouca
34.42% (1.192 1.19) 26.48% (0.312 0.31) 39.1% (-1.505 -1.51)
Both teams to score 52.44% (-0.745 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (-1.068 -1.07)52.36% (1.067 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (-0.927 -0.93)74.05% (0.92500000000001 0.93)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.23200000000001 0.23)28.94% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17% (0.289 0.29)64.83% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-1.294 -1.29)26.2% (1.292 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (-1.763 -1.76)61.29% (1.762 1.76)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 34.42%
    Arouca 39.09%
    Draw 26.47%
SC FarenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.315 0.32)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.09%

How you voted: Farense vs Arouca

SC Farense
76.5%
Draw
14.7%
Arouca
8.8%
34
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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