Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Arouca |
75.67% ( -0.62) | 15.68% ( 0.37) | 8.65% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 45.16% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.87% ( -0.91) | 40.13% ( 0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.5% ( -0.95) | 62.49% ( 0.95) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.06% ( -0.36) | 8.94% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.47% ( -0.88) | 30.53% ( 0.88) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.6% ( -0.06) | 50.4% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.06% ( -0.04) | 84.94% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Arouca |
2-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.67% Total : 75.66% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.68% | 0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.95% Total : 8.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |