MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 00:51:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Casa Pia

Arouca
0 - 1
Casa Pia


Cristo (44'), Montero (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cardoso (90+1')
Fernandes (11'), Mukendi (83'), Cardoso (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Casa Pia

Armed with confidence from their positive start, which culminated in the impressive draw against Porto, and on the back of a break from competitive action, we back Arouca to take all three points on Sunday with home advantage on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawCasa Pia
39.33% (-0.297 -0.3) 27.61% (0.325 0.33) 33.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.65% (-0.976 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (-1.232 -1.23)57.04% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07% (-0.991 -0.99)77.93% (0.98999999999999 0.99)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (-0.753 -0.75)28.27% (0.751 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (-0.961 -0.96)63.99% (0.959 0.96)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (-0.645 -0.64)32.18% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (-0.738 -0.74)68.66% (0.736 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 39.33%
    Casa Pia 33.05%
    Draw 27.61%
AroucaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 10.31% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.85% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.05%

How you voted: Arouca vs Casa Pia

Arouca
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Casa Pia
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Arouca
2-0
Casa Pia
Mujica (81', 90+3')
Sep 4, 2022 3.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612


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