Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Casa Pia |
36.83% ( 2.41) | 28.23% ( -0.14) | 34.94% ( -2.27) |
Both teams to score 47.09% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.89% ( 0.53) | 59.11% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.45% ( 0.41) | 79.55% ( -0.41) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% ( 1.82) | 30.77% ( -1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.96% ( 2.09) | 67.04% ( -2.09) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( -1.17) | 31.98% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.56% ( -1.36) | 68.43% ( 1.36) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.83% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |