MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:40:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Casa Pia

Porto
2 - 1
Casa Pia

Taremi (56'), Loader (90+3')
Loader (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evanilson (45+5' og.)
Zolotic (49'), Cardoso (74'), Taira (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Porto
Monday, May 8 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Portimonense
Friday, May 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 2-1 Casa Pia

 Although Casa Pia's form has tailed off considerably in the second half of the season, they are very rarely on the receiving end of any heavy defeats, with their last three defeats being by one-goal margins. As such, we expect Porto to emerge as narrow winners, just about managing to keep themselves in contention for the Primeira Liga title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 6.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.44%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawCasa Pia
79.97% (-0.333 -0.33) 13.29% (0.189 0.19) 6.75% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 44.51% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.28% (-0.31 -0.31)35.72% (0.316 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.21% (-0.345 -0.34)57.79% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.01% (-0.131 -0.13)7% (0.1369 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.4% (-0.35799999999999 -0.36)25.6% (0.364 0.36)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.86% (0.195 0.2)52.14% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.9% (0.127 0.13)86.1% (-0.12 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Porto 79.96%
    Casa Pia 6.75%
    Draw 13.29%
PortoDrawCasa Pia
2-0 @ 12.9% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 7.61% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.95% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
5-0 @ 4.05% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.64% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.79% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
6-1 @ 1.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 79.96%
1-1 @ 6.32% (0.089 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.65% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.74% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 13.29%
0-1 @ 2.38% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 6.75%

How you voted: Porto vs Casa Pia

Porto
91.3%
Draw
4.3%
Casa Pia
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 8.30pm
gameweek 15
Casa Pia
0-0
Porto

Soares (33'), Batista (74')
Soares (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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