Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
23.63% | 23.15% | 53.22% |
Both teams to score 56.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.89% | 44.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.51% | 66.49% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% | 32.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.91% | 69.09% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.45% | 16.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.69% | 46.31% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 6.1% 1-0 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.49% Total : 23.63% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 9.69% 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 5.23% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |