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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Boavista

Guimaraes
3 - 2
Boavista

Silva (20' pen.), Janvier (87'), Amaro (90+3')
Bamba (3'), Silva (56'), Johnston (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sasso (45+3'), Agra (71')
Sasso (17'), Tavares (52'), Makouta (52'), Lourenco (68'), Perez (74'), Camara (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, October 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Maritimo
Sunday, October 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-1 Boavista

Both teams have proven this year that they are good sides, but neither side scores all too often. As a result, we predict an entertaining but low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBoavista
42.62% (-1.14 -1.14) 27.67% (0.122 0.12) 29.71% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 47.31% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.82% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)58.18% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)78.83% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.61500000000001 -0.62)27% (0.612 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.812 -0.81)62.35% (0.808 0.81)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81% (0.773 0.77)35.18% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.06% (0.797 0.8)71.93% (-0.801 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.61%
    Boavista 29.71%
    Draw 27.67%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 12.43% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.61%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.218 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.174 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 29.71%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Boavista

Vitoria de Guimaraes
48.3%
Draw
31.0%
Boavista
20.7%
29
Head to Head
May 6, 2022 8.15pm
Boavista
1-1
Guimaraes
Ntep (70')
Ntep (71'), Nathan (90+4')
Estupinan (25')
Mumin (33'), Bamba (45+2'), Amaro (63')
Mumin (77')
Dec 29, 2021 7pm
Guimaraes
1-1
Boavista
Estupinan (81')
Janvier (18'), Estupinan (54'), Silva (71'), Andre (75'), Mumin (88'), Rochinha (90+5')
Ilori (85')
Abascal (45+2'), Cannon (49')
Feb 26, 2021 8.30pm
Guimaraes
2-1
Boavista
Rochinha (39'), Andre (63' pen.)
Almeida (58'), Pepelu (84')
Mangas (17')
Mangas (62'), Gomes (79'), Perez (85'), Castro (90+6')
Oct 19, 2020 8.15pm
Boavista
0-1
Guimaraes

Mangas (23'), Sauer (41'), Garcia (63'), Awaziem (80')
Edwards (19')
Quaresma (3'), Fernandes (62')
Feb 2, 2020 8pm
Boavista
2-0
Guimaraes
Carraca (23'), Tavares (55')
Sauer (33'), Neris (39'), Leismann (43'), Cassiano (47'), Tavares (81')

Sacko (37'), Henrique (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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