Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and NK Varazdin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osijek 0-1 Hajduk Split
Wednesday, November 8 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Wednesday, November 8 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hajduk Split | Draw | NK Varazdin |
62.28% ( -0.04) | 20.69% ( 0.09) | 17.04% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.79% ( -0.5) | 42.21% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( -0.5) | 64.62% ( 0.5) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% ( -0.17) | 12.99% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.49% ( -0.34) | 39.51% ( 0.34) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.87% ( -0.36) | 38.13% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.1% ( -0.34) | 74.9% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
Hajduk Split 62.27%
NK Varazdin 17.04%
Draw 20.69%
| Hajduk Split | Draw | NK Varazdin |
| 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.69% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.04% |
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 6pm
Form Guide
