Rijeka

4 - 0

Istra 1961

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 12.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.