Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 9.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a East Fife win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
