Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 68.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.75%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Rotor Volgograd win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
