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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
1 - 2
Al-Hilal

Veiga (12')
Ibanez (37'), Hamidou (75'), Majrashi (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mitrovic (56', 78' pen.)
Al-Dawsari (75'), Mitrovic (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Quadisiya 1-0 Al-Ahli
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Kholood 2-4 Al-Hilal
Saturday, September 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 0-3 Al-Hilal

 Al-Hilal enter this match in exceptional form, boasting a perfect record in the league and a remarkable goal tally of 16 goals in five matches. With Aleksandar Mitrovic leading the line as the league's top scorer, their attack has proven to be both potent and relentless. The visitors should overcome their hosts easily. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
31.24% (-1.168 -1.17) 23.79% (0.283 0.28) 44.97% (0.879 0.88)
Both teams to score 60.54% (-1.59 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.63% (-1.856 -1.86)41.37% (1.851 1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.23% (-1.907 -1.91)63.76% (1.903 1.9)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-1.6 -1.6)25.57% (1.597 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (-2.232 -2.23)60.45% (2.228 2.23)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (-0.383 -0.38)18.65% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (-0.644 -0.64)49.97% (0.639 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 31.24%
    Al-Hilal 44.97%
    Draw 23.78%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.248 0.25)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.02% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.24%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.389 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.563 0.56)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.396 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.178 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 44.97%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al-Hilal

Al-Ahli
25.9%
Draw
7.4%
Al-Hilal
66.7%
27
Head to Head
May 6, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 28
Al-Ahli
1-2
Al-Hilal
Albirakan (30')
Kessie (70'), Demiral (70'), Yaslam (83')
Mitrovic (52'), Malcom (89')
Tambakti (50')
> Preview
Oct 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 11
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al-Ahli
Milinkovic-Savic (1'), Mitrovic (37'), Ibanez (84' og.)
Saint-Maximin (58')
Ibanez (32'), Hindi (45+4'), Al-Asmari (88'), Kessie (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Al-Hilal
0-1
Al-Ahli

Al Dawsari (89'), Babhir (90'), Gomis (93')
Asiri (42')
Al Fatil (37'), Souza (55'), Muwashar (68'), Al Owais (93')
Aug 6, 2019 5.40pm
Round of 16
Al-Ahli
2-4
Al-Hilal
Al Somah (6'), Djaniny (39')
Al Khabrani (2'), Aleksic (45'), Al Somah (61'), Souza (90')
Gomis (15', 48', 65'), Al-Hafith (81')
Albulayhi (34'), Al Dosari (36'), Otayf (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal17141253173643
2Al Ittihad17141240142643
3Al Quadisiya17121426121437
4Al-Nassr17105235161935
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli17102530151532
6Al ShababAl Shabab179262518729
7Al Khaleej178272423126
8Al Riyadh177462025-525
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun176561816223
10Damac176382529-421
11Al Kholood175482129-819
12Al Ettifaq175481927-819
13Al Okhdood1743102126-515
14Al Fayha173681427-1315
15Al RaedAl Raed1742112030-1014
16Al Orubah1742111135-2414
17Al WahdaAl Wahda1734102241-1913
18Al Fateh1723121539-249
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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