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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
1 - 2
Al-Hilal

Veiga (12')
Ibanez (37'), Hamidou (75'), Majrashi (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mitrovic (56', 78' pen.)
Al-Dawsari (75'), Mitrovic (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Quadisiya 1-0 Al-Ahli
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Kholood 2-4 Al-Hilal
Saturday, September 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 0-3 Al-Hilal

 Al-Hilal enter this match in exceptional form, boasting a perfect record in the league and a remarkable goal tally of 16 goals in five matches. With Aleksandar Mitrovic leading the line as the league's top scorer, their attack has proven to be both potent and relentless. The visitors should overcome their hosts easily. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
31.24% (-1.168 -1.17) 23.79% (0.283 0.28) 44.97% (0.879 0.88)
Both teams to score 60.54% (-1.59 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.63% (-1.856 -1.86)41.37% (1.851 1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.23% (-1.907 -1.91)63.76% (1.903 1.9)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-1.6 -1.6)25.57% (1.597 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (-2.232 -2.23)60.45% (2.228 2.23)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (-0.383 -0.38)18.65% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (-0.644 -0.64)49.97% (0.639 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 31.24%
    Al-Hilal 44.97%
    Draw 23.78%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 7.45% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.5% (0.248 0.25)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.02% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.24%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.389 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.563 0.56)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.396 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.178 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 44.97%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al-Hilal

Al-Ahli
25.9%
Draw
7.4%
Al-Hilal
66.7%
27
Head to Head
May 6, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 28
Al-Ahli
1-2
Al-Hilal
Albirakan (30')
Kessie (70'), Demiral (70'), Yaslam (83')
Mitrovic (52'), Malcom (89')
Tambakti (50')
> Preview
Oct 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 11
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al-Ahli
Milinkovic-Savic (1'), Mitrovic (37'), Ibanez (84' og.)
Saint-Maximin (58')
Ibanez (32'), Hindi (45+4'), Al-Asmari (88'), Kessie (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Al-Hilal
0-1
Al-Ahli

Al Dawsari (89'), Babhir (90'), Gomis (93')
Asiri (42')
Al Fatil (37'), Souza (55'), Muwashar (68'), Al Owais (93')
Aug 6, 2019 5.40pm
Round of 16
Al-Ahli
2-4
Al-Hilal
Al Somah (6'), Djaniny (39')
Al Khabrani (2'), Aleksic (45'), Al Somah (61'), Souza (90')
Gomis (15', 48', 65'), Al-Hafith (81')
Albulayhi (34'), Al Dosari (36'), Otayf (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal15131148143440
2Al Ittihad15131137112640
3Al Quadisiya15101422111131
4Al-Nassr1585229141529
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli1692525151029
6Al ShababAl Shabab158252215726
7Al Khaleej157262119223
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun156451815322
9Al Riyadh156451920-122
10Damac155372226-418
11Al Ettifaq165381725-818
12Al Kholood164481928-916
13Al Okhdood164392024-415
14Al Fayha163671325-1215
15Al RaedAl Raed1642101928-914
16Al Orubah1541101133-2213
17Al WahdaAl Wahda153391935-1612
18Al Fateh1513111235-236
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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