MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 16:21:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
1 - 1
Al-Ahli

Al-Hurayji (90+9' og.)
Kessie (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kessie (57')
Al-Johani (28'), Al-Hurayji (83'), Kessie (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 1-4 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, August 27 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-0 Al-Ahli
Tuesday, August 27 at 4.45pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr bounced back from their opening-day draw with a convincing victory in their last match, which will undoubtedly boost their morale – in addition, their historical record against Al-Ahli suggests that they have a strong formula for success in this fixture, making them a likely favourite to win again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.23%) and 1-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
42.51% (-0.123 -0.12) 21.87% (0.0030000000000001 0) 35.62% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 69.51% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.67% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.58% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)15.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)43.84% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (0.055999999999997 0.06)18.02% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (0.097999999999999 0.1)48.9% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 42.51%
    Al-Ahli 35.62%
    Draw 21.87%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 42.51%
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 7.14% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.62%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr
88.5%
Draw
5.7%
Al-Ahli
5.7%
87
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 24
Al-Ahli
0-1
Al-Nassr

Ibanez (12'), Kessie (45+4')
Ronaldo (68' pen.)
Otavio (53'), Laporte (90+10')
Sep 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Al-Nassr
4-3
Al-Ahli
Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')
Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Quarter-Finals
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al-Ahli
Martinez (13'), Asiri (55')
Albirakan (88')

Al-Majhad (6'), Hawsawi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal17141253173643
2Al Ittihad17141240142643
3Al Quadisiya17121426121437
4Al-Nassr17105235161935
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli18112532151735
6Al ShababAl Shabab179262518729
7Al Khaleej178272423126
8Al Riyadh177462025-525
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun176561816223
10Damac176382529-421
11Al Kholood175482129-819
12Al Ettifaq175481927-819
13Al Okhdood1743102126-515
14Al Fayha173681427-1315
15Al RaedAl Raed1742112030-1014
16Al Orubah1842121137-2614
17Al WahdaAl Wahda1734102241-1913
18Al Fateh1723121539-249


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