Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Al-Hilal3 - 1Al-Ahli
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al-Hilal 6-0 Mumbai City
Monday, October 23 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Monday, October 23 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Wahda
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Ahli
While the hosts have put up a few big scorelines already this season, most of those came on the road, while at home, they seem to have opted to remain defensively solid and see out games without too much fuss. This should be an entertaining match, but we feel Al-Hilal will claim the points and maintain their place at the top of the standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Ahli |
60.96% ( 0.1) | 21.31% ( 0.3) | 17.73% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 53.15% ( -1.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( -2.04) | 43.81% ( 2.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( -2.03) | 66.2% ( 2.02) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( -0.63) | 13.89% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.68% ( -1.24) | 41.31% ( 1.24) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( -1.67) | 38.27% ( 1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.97% ( -1.64) | 75.03% ( 1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
Al-Hilal 60.95%
Al-Ahli 17.73%
Draw 21.31%
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.68) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.44)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.95% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.31% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.73% |
How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Ahli
Al-Hilal
76.9%Draw
11.5%Al-Ahli
11.5%26
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2019 6.30pm
Aug 6, 2019 5.40pm
Round of 16
Al-Ahli
2-4
Al-Hilal
Form Guide
