MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 08:25:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 28
Apr 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
3 - 1
Al Fayha

Al Amri (72'), Mane (76', 82')
Mane (37'), Al-Khaibari (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sakala (6')
Cimirot (28'), Sabiri (45+3')
Sakala (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Fayha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Fayha

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fayha 3-0 Al Okhdood
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al Fayha

 Al Fayha could not have chosen a better time to face Al-Nassr, who are coming off a painful defeat and are set to be without their leader and talisman Cristiano Ronaldo. However, Al-Alami have more than enough reinforcements to unleash here, and their record in this fixture has been incredible for several years. Therefore, while we are not expecting a commanding victory, we do still feel that the hosts will come out on top in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 6.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Fayha
82.1% (0.28 0.28) 11.27% (-0.125 -0.13) 6.61% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.05% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)24.95% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)44.85% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.51% (0.033000000000001 0.03)4.49% (-0.0361 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.58% (0.10799999999999 0.11)18.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (-0.468 -0.47)44.03% (0.464 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84% (-0.386 -0.39)80.15% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 82.11%
    Al Fayha 6.61%
    Draw 11.28%
Al-NassrDrawAl Fayha
3-0 @ 9.85% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.08% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 7.64% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 6.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.13% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.74% (0.072 0.07)
5-1 @ 3.89% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.45% (0.044 0.04)
6-1 @ 2.01% (0.01 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 5.14%
Total : 82.11%
1-1 @ 5.03% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 11.28%
1-2 @ 2.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-1 @ 1.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 6.61%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Fayha

Al-Nassr
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
Al Fayha
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2024 6pm
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al Fayha
Otavio (17'), Ronaldo (86')
Castro (16'), Otavio (19'), Ronaldo (45+1'), Alkhaibari (79')

Al-Safari (15'), Al-Harthi (36'), Onyekuru (45+4'), Al-Baqawi (54'), Al-Khalaf (58')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2024 6pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Al Fayha
0-1
Al-Nassr

Al-Shuwaish (77'), Sabiri (82')
Ronaldo (81')
Alkhaibari (37'), Al-Najjar (85')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 11
Al Fayha
1-3
Al-Nassr
Al-Shuwaish (66')
Ryller (20'), Al-Safari (89')
Talisca (50', 61'), Otavio (74')
Al Amri (53')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal17141253173643
2Al Ittihad17141240142643
3Al Quadisiya17121426121437
4Al-Nassr17105235161935
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli17102530151532
6Al ShababAl Shabab179262518729
7Al Khaleej178272423126
8Al Riyadh177462025-525
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun176561816223
10Damac176382529-421
11Al Kholood175482129-819
12Al Ettifaq175481927-819
13Al Okhdood1743102126-515
14Al Fayha173681427-1315
15Al RaedAl Raed1742112030-1014
16Al Orubah1742111135-2414
17Al WahdaAl Wahda1734102241-1913
18Al Fateh1723121539-249
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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