MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 15:07:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 24
Mar 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Nassr

Al-Ahli
0 - 1
Al-Nassr


Ibanez (12'), Kessie (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ronaldo (68' pen.)
Otavio (53'), Laporte (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Taawoun 0-1 Al-Ahli
Saturday, March 9 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Ahli 2-1 Al-Nassr

Off the back of an agonising Champions League exit, Al-Nassr will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result. However, Al-Ahli have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and we see them securing a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl-Nassr
38.54% (-0.395 -0.4) 25.78% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 35.67% (0.328 0.33)
Both teams to score 54.91% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (-0.262 -0.26)49.27% (0.261 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (-0.236 -0.24)71.33% (0.235 0.23)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-0.333 -0.33)25.08% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.22% (-0.46 -0.46)59.77% (0.459 0.46)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (0.068000000000012 0.07)26.7% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04% (0.089999999999996 0.09)61.95% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 38.54%
    Al-Nassr 35.67%
    Draw 25.78%
Al-AhliDrawAl-Nassr
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38.54%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 35.67%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al-Nassr

Al-Ahli
25.0%
Draw
9.4%
Al-Nassr
65.6%
32
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Al-Nassr
4-3
Al-Ahli
Ronaldo (4', 52'), Talisca (17', 45+6')
Mane (34'), Talisca (90+6')
Kessie (30'), Mahrez (50' pen.), Albirakan (87')
Majrashi (45'), Yaslam (90+3')
Sep 30, 2020 2.40pm
Quarter-Finals
Al-Nassr
2-0
Al-Ahli
Martinez (13'), Asiri (55')
Albirakan (88')

Al-Majhad (6'), Hawsawi (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal17141253173643
2Al Ittihad17141240142643
3Al Quadisiya17121426121437
4Al-Nassr17105235161935
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli17102530151532
6Al ShababAl Shabab179262518729
7Al Khaleej178272423126
8Al Riyadh177462025-525
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun176561816223
10Damac176382529-421
11Al Kholood175482129-819
12Al Ettifaq175481927-819
13Al Okhdood1743102126-515
14Al Fayha173681427-1315
15Al RaedAl Raed1742112030-1014
16Al Orubah1742111135-2414
17Al WahdaAl Wahda1734102241-1913
18Al Fateh1723121539-249


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