While closing the gap to the league leaders seems unlikely considering Al-Hilal's dominance this season, Al Nassr still have some work to do to secure their spot in next season's AFC Champions League and will see this as an excellent opportunity to pick up another three points against a side that has been languishing near the bottom of the table for the majority of the campaign. Al Tai have shown signs of improvement lately, but we feel they will be no match for the Knights of Najd in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Al Tai had a probability of 8.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for an Al Tai win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Tai
78.23% ( -0.03)	13.15% ( 0.04)	8.62% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.04% (

-0.26)

26.96% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.57% (

-0.34)

47.43% (

0.34)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.5% (

-0.06)

5.5% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.56% (

-0.17)

21.45% (

0.17)

Al Tai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.14% (

-0.23)

40.86% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.57% (

-0.21)

77.43% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 78.23%

Al Tai 8.62%

Draw 13.15%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Tai
2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 5.25% Total : 78.23%	1-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 13.15%	1-2 @ 2.61% 0-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 8.62%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Tai

Al-Nassr

83.3%

Draw

8.3%

Al Tai

8.3%

Head to Head

Sep 29, 2023 4pm

Gameweek 8

Al Tai

1-2

Al-Nassr

Misidjan (79')
Dugandzic (37'), Misidjan (82'), Roco (86'), Al Harabi (86')

Talisca (32'), Ronaldo (87' pen.)
Alkhaibari (59'), Mane (90+1')

> Preview

Form Guide

Al-Ahli 0-1 Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Ain (1-3 pen.)

Al-Nassr 1-3 Al Raed

Al-Ain 1-0 Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr 4-4 Al Hazem

Al Shabab 2-3 Al-Nassr

Al Tai 1-1 Al Ettifaq

Al Tai 0-3 Al Ittihad

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