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Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2024 at 7pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
4 - 2
Al Ittihad

Ronaldo (45+3', 69'), Ghareeb (78' pen.), Al Nemer (90+5')
Mane (3'), Al Amri (90+5'), Al Amri (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Al-Shamrani (89'), Fabinho (90+2')
Al Menhali (51')
Al Menhali (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Riyadh 2-2 Al-Nassr
Thursday, May 23 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 4-1 Damac
Thursday, May 23 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Ittihad

Al Ittihad are limping across the line and are likely ready to turn the page on what has been a very poor title defence. However, they are facing an Al-Nassr side that need a big performance after a lackluster showing last week. Luis Castro will be demanding improvement here and we feel the Knights of Najd will respond with a commanding final-day victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 56.25%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Ittihad
56.25% (0.558 0.56) 19.86% (0.147 0.15) 23.89% (-0.714 -0.71)
Both teams to score 68.72% (-1.497 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.98% (-1.548 -1.55)28.02% (1.54 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.23% (-1.947 -1.95)48.76% (1.939 1.94)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.78% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)10.21% (0.3481 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.48% (-0.81099999999999 -0.81)33.52% (0.803 0.8)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-1.365 -1.37)23.46% (1.357 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.52% (-2.017 -2.02)57.47% (2.007 2.01)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 56.26%
    Al Ittihad 23.89%
    Draw 19.86%
Al-NassrDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.213 0.21)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.387 0.39)
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.417 0.42)
3-2 @ 4.98% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 4.74% (0.227 0.23)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.84% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.09 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.37% (-0.125 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.3% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 56.26%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.303 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 2.41% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.216 0.22)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.86%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.47% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 23.89%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Ittihad

Al-Nassr
82.4%
Draw
5.9%
Al Ittihad
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Al Ittihad
2-5
Al-Nassr
Hamdallah (14', 51')
Al-Ghamdi (28'), Kante (40'), Hamdallah (47'), Fabinho (60')
Fabinho (66')
Ronaldo (19' pen., 68'), Talisca (38'), Mane (75', 82')
Castro (29'), Fofana (30'), Telles (45+11'), Laporte (47'), Alawjami (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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