Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
40.15% ( 0.01) | 24.68% ( 0.01) | 35.17% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.71% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.65% ( -0.03) | 44.35% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.28% ( -0.03) | 66.72% ( 0.03) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.94% ( -0) | 22.06% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.6% ( -0.01) | 55.4% ( 0.01) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.33% ( -0.02) | 24.67% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.8% ( -0.03) | 59.2% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 41 |
3 | Livingston | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 39 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 24 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 23 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 21 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 19 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 41 | -30 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |