Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
32.3% ( 0.01) | 25.74% ( 0) | 41.96% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.26% ( -0.01) | 49.74% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.25% ( -0.01) | 71.75% ( 0.02) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.99% ( 0) | 29.01% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.09% ( -0) | 64.91% ( 0.01) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.47% ( -0.01) | 23.53% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.43% ( -0.01) | 57.57% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 41.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |