Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.