MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:04:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Dundee logo
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dens Park
Ayr United

Dundee
3 - 1
Ayr

Sweeney (13'), Jakubiak (59'), McCowan (80')
Sweeney (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akinyemi (17')
Murdoch (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Championship clash between Dundee and Ayr United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Last Game: Partick 0-0 Dundee
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Ayr
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Dundee 1-0 Ayr United

 With Queen's Park putting a considerable gap between themselves and these two chasing sides, Tuesday's clash is likely to be a cagey affair given the amount at stake. Promotion arguably means more to Ayr given their 45-year exile from the top flight, but Dundee could have a little too much quality for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawAyr United
49.93% (-3.034 -3.03) 23.89% (0.802 0.8) 26.18% (2.226 2.23)
Both teams to score 56.54% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.97% (-1.55 -1.55)45.03% (1.545 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62% (-1.507 -1.51)67.38% (1.502 1.5)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-1.698 -1.7)18.1% (1.693 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-2.982 -2.98)49.05% (2.977 2.98)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04% (0.97800000000001 0.98)30.96% (-0.983 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.74% (1.133 1.13)67.26% (-1.137 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 49.93%
    Ayr United 26.18%
    Draw 23.89%
DundeeDrawAyr United
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.418 -0.42)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.494 -0.49)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.338 -0.34)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 49.93%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.364 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.416 0.42)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.59 0.59)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.439 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.226 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.207 0.21)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Dundee vs Ayr

Dundee
71.7%
Draw
13.0%
Ayr United
15.2%
46
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Ayr
0-2
Dundee
McCowan (68', 84')
Mulligan (19')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Dundee
2-1
Ayr
McMullan (38'), Robinson (49')
Mullin (61')
Reading (28')
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Ayr
3-1
Dundee
Akinyemi (17', 67'), Houston (62')
Murdoch (73')
Rudden (4')
Sweeney (30')
Sweeney (90+2')
Apr 6, 2021 7pm
Ayr
0-3
Dundee
Anderson (68'), Afolabi (74'), McGowan (87')
Marshall (51'), Mullen (70')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dundee
1-3
Ayr
Sow (86')
Adam (45')
McKenzie (18', 84'), Smith (49')
McKenzie (65'), Sinisalo (71'), Ndaba (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk1410222791832
2Livingston148511910929
3Ayr UnitedAyr147432214825
4Partick ThistlePartick14653179823
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park146441615122
6Raith Rovers144371318-515
7Hamilton AcademicalHamilton144371925-615
8Greenock MortonMorton143561119-814
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline143381115-412
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians141211627-215
> Scottish Championship Full Table


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